Friday, 9 October 2009

المتداول العربىSoftening Risk Aversion Impacts Forex

المتداول العربىSoftening Risk Aversion Impacts Forex

The last two weeks have proved the old adage, "What goes up must come down." In other words, the year-long Dollar rally has begun to fade, as investors once again embrace economic reality.

Previously, Dollar strength could be largely attributed to exit trades out of other currencies, rather than any substantive benefit of investing in the US.

Now, risk appetite is slowly recovering, having received a boost from the just-completed government bailout of the US automobile industry.

Less concerned about risk/volatility, investors have taken to re-assessing economic fundamentals.

In the case of the US, unemployment is rising, the twin deficits continue to expand at a breakneck pace, and the interest rate disparity between the ECB and Fed will remain in place for the near-term.

The Wall Street Journal reports:
Whether the dollar will continue to weaken is a matter of debate.

Currency strategists caution that the dollar often is weaker toward the end of the year, particularly against the euro, as companies and investors adjust bets.